Info point 15: - CERTAINTY/UNCERTAINTY

Stephen Hawking addresses Certainty and Uncertainty in his book 'The Grand Design'.

In the light of this, CBAT suggests the following answer to the science policy-challenge of climate change created by humans: - while there may well be uncertainty in the 'scientific' climate-models, that does not lead to a result where policy-models need to follow-suit and be unintelligently designed.

In view of the risks we face and the potential damages that may be sustained, the need for 'risk-averse' 'precautionary policy' - to do enough soon enough - is an intelligent certainty. Betting on the suspension of the laws of physics steers scientific-scepticism towards the evolution of levels of uncertainty that engender a culture of avoidance, political stupidity and collective disaster.

While this is possible, it hardly seems advisable.

Because of the self-propagating and uncontrollable nature of positive feedback effects consequent on human impacts on the global climate system, the conclusion to draw from the use of CBAT is that negotiating anything above C&C at Low Budget rates with accelerated convergence, is an increasingly certain invitation for humanity to evolve into circumstances to which it will become impossible to adapt.

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