Info point 4: - EMISSIONS PATHWAYS

BACK TO CBAT Graphic User Interface [GUI]


BACK TO ALL INFO POINTS DOMAIN 1

Use of the 'Slider-Control' shifts carbon-budgets through 40 positions upwards and 40 positions downwards above and below the 'Carbon-Budget' chosen from LOW MEDIUM & HIGH.

The first point is no-one actually knows where human emissions are going to go. The second point is that any 'Carbon-Budget' is merely a human-policy-construct. As shown here, following the climate-model behind the UK Climate Act such a budget does not necessarily reflect the total of emissions that will occur even if this policy-budget is theoretically 'implemented' internationally.

This is because a range of feedback-emissions consequent on temperature rise were omitted from the UKMO's model. In fact, the higher the budget chosen, the more likely it is that non-human, non-budget 'feedback-emissions' will become added to the 'Emission-Pathway' that emerges and the resultant 'Concentrations Pathway' that actually occurs as a result.

Consequently, even if this poses a formidable measurement-challenge, 'Budget-emissions' must be defined and differentiated and measured separately from 'Feedback-Emissions'.

What is clear is that, whatever the rate, these feedback-emissions will start gradually and accelerate over time as the planet warms.

With 'Segregated Feedback' this is what CBAT attempts to lay out in a heuristic, user-interactive way.

BACK TO CBAT Graphic User Interface [GUI]


BACK TO ALL INFO POINTS DOMAIN 1